Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Super Tuesday Live Blogging!

I appear to be the only near a computer (even if it's because I happen to be doing work on one) so I suppose that grants me the honor of live-blogging the primary results as they come out tonight. Nat-Wu and Adam can chime in with comments/updates as they see fit. Anyway our first result is in for the day, and Huckabee is the winner in West Virginia. John Cole hopes that it's the beginning of the end for Romney. Obama surged to a tie with Clinton in recent national polls, so we'll probably be keeping an eye on proceedings until fairly late tonight and things aren't likely to be over by that point anyway. But it sure does make for fun.

UPDATE: CNN projects Obama as the winner of the Georgia primary, based on the exit polls. The polls have McCain ahead of Huckabee, with Romney trailing in 3rd.

UPDATE II: The Washington Post says Obama will win his home state of Illinois. NPR says he'll win Alabama. NPR also says that McCain will win New Jersey. CNN says Clinton will win Oklahoma. The Post also says McCain will win Illinois, and that Romney will win Massachusetts.

UPDATE III: The Post projects Clinton as the winner in Arkansas and and Tennessee. Huckabee also wins Arkansas, but McCain is now projected to win Connecticut and Delaware. And yes, I really do need to be on four different media sites to keep up with all this.

UPDATE IV: Clinton has won Massachusetts. NPR is calling New York for Clinton as well (no surprise there.)

UPDATE V: NPR projects Obama to win Alabama and Delaware. Yee-haw! Huckabee picks up Alabama.

UPDATE VI: Uh oh. Apparently officials in California weren't prepared for the number of independent voters going to the polls. Here's hoping that proves to be a minor problem.

UPDATE VII: Clinton nets Tennessee, Obama takes Kansas.

UPDATE VIII: Obama's plains states romp advances north into North Dakota. Huckabee is on NPR shilling for the "Fair Tax", declaring his intent to hang a "for sale" sign on the IRS, and defending the "culture of life." Naturally, he's doing well among southern Republicans.

UPDATE IX: Obama takes Connecticut. And Minnesota. And Utah, projected from exit polls I presume. Now McCain's biggest fan "Independent" Democrat Joe Lieberman is on NPR talking up McCain...how long until we can get rid of this buffoon?

UPDATE X: Obama takes Colorado and Idaho, but loses Arizona to Clinton.

UPDATE XI: Clinton takes Missouri, and everything's up in the air in California. Here's CNN's exit poll for California. Make of it what you will but Max Blumenthal and Charles Franklin say don't put too much faith in them.

UPDATE XII: I'm only nominally keeping track of the Republican side, but Huckabee has done quite well for himself in the South, ensuring that McCain will not be able to virtually lock up the nomination after today even if he trounces Romney and exposing the serious problems many of the right-wing Republicans have voting for a moderate like McCain.

UPDATE XIII: CNN is calling California for Clinton and McCain. Romney's toast. Naturally we here at TWM would have preferred an upset in California, but Obama has still done far, far better than projected only a couple of weeks ago and this race is still wide open. And the Texas Democratic primary might just count for something for once. Anyway, I'm done for the night. I'm sure Adam will get us a delegate tally at some point, but it's past my bedtime.

3 comments:

Skeptic said...

Is America ready for a White House Plantation with black master and white servants? Obama certainly is, so are his fellow black voters. The votes clearly show blacks are unified and can vote as a block, can whites be as unified? Clearly not. The history shows the oppressed are more likely to be unified than the oppressors. If blacks can be unified, why can't women? Because women are usually critical of their own sex. America's white males, now a minority, occupies the U.S. Presidency 100%. Women, now a majority, occupies only the White House kitchen. Will they be open to see themselves as an equal to the men? This year is for us to find out.

Anonymous said...

As a black and a woman I can say that your comment is not only silly, it shows that you must not be educated either.
People vote for many reasons and most of the time, it is based on the candidates stance on issues, their morality and charisma-- not slave mentality-- an obvious disease that you are bound by and surfering from.

adam said...

Texas will matter!

Last night, we witnessed the most exciting election results since November 2006. Most people assumed that the Democratic race would stay unbelievably tight - which happened - but no one was saying that McCain, Romney, and especially Huckabee would carve up the map as much as they did on the Republican side (though with winner-take-all primaries, McCain still has the advantage). On the Democratic side, both Obama and Clinton and their respective supporters have reason to be happy. Clinton won substantially in some big states, including California and Massachusetts, beating back handily potential upsets. However, Obama won a solid majority of the states, 13-8 (including many red/southern states by over 60-70% of the vote and crucial-in-the-general swing states such as Colorado, Minnesota, Missouri, etc.), leaving neither candidate with a substantial gain of delegates over the other. I think close races always benefit the challenger more though, and the fact that Obama did so well among white voters completely destroyed the argument that he became a "black candidate" after South Carolina.

The bottom line is that no candidate can claim clear momentum because of the mixed results, but the rest of the states voting this month - Louisiana, Virginia, Maryland, etc. - are expected to favor Obama, whom has the money edge. Most importantly, the race will likely go on until at least March 4th, when Texas and Ohio vote. This means our votes in the primary will count! Who would have predicted that? *Everyone* had assumed Super Tuesday would be the end of the Democratic nomination but that the Republican race may continue on, but it may be that ours lasts longer than theirs. After March 11th, there are no primaries for six weeks when Pennsylvania votes. If that's not some kind of death match, this is going all the way to the convention... which would not be good for the party and our chances in the general. But with Democrats seemingly split 50/50 between these two great candidates, and in an election season filled with twists and turns, it's not an impossibility.