Showing posts with label Ohio. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ohio. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Stunning

I can't think of another word to describe these figures:

A record number of Ohioans are registered to vote for the Nov. 4 election, when officials are predicting a record voter turnout with the hard-fought presidential race in the Buckeye State.

Nearly 8.2 million people are registered in Ohio, after 665,949 new voters were added to the rolls since the beginning of the year, Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner announced today after Monday's registration deadline.

That means about 94 percent of all eligible voters in Ohio are registered, based on U.S. Census estimates of Ohioans 18 years and older as of July 2007.

Brunner is predicting 80 percent voter turnout this fall, which would mean 6.5 million Ohioans would cast ballots. By comparison, 5.7 million votes were cast in the 2004 presidential election in the state.

This is a testament to the incredible interest voters are taking in this year's elections. Ninety-four percent! Ohio doesn't track voter registrations by party, but the state has been an area of intense focus for Obama's grassroots campaign; can anyone believe that even half of the projected 800,000 voters over the 2004 totals will be voting Republican? I don't.

Monday, October 06, 2008

Ohio

More good news for Obama, as a Washington Post-ABC News poll gives him a six point lead over McCain in Ohio:

Overall, among likely voters in the new poll, 51 percent said they would support Obama and his running mate, Sen. Joseph Biden, if the election were held today, while 45 percent said they would back McCain and the GOP vice presidential nominee, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.

Ohio voters see McCain as more capable of dealing with Iraq and terrorism, but those issues are far less important this year. Just 9 percent of voters call them their top voting issues.

About two in 10 voters are "movable," nearly double the proportion who were uncommitted two weeks before the 2004 election, suggesting the possibility of some significant shifts in the weeks ahead.

Beyond that, Obama holds a 2 to 1 advantage over McCain as the candidate most likely to bring needed change to Washington.

There are indications from the survey that Obama also may have an early advantage in mobilizing and turning out Ohio voters over the next month. He has more enthusiastic supporters than McCain does and has reached more voters in Ohio than his rival.

Nearly four in 10 voters (38 percent) said they have already been contacted by someone from the Obama campaign either by phone or in person. That is 12 points higher than the number who said they have heard from the McCain campaign. It also is higher than the number who said they had been called or visited by either the campaigns of President Bush or Democrat John F. Kerry in mid-October four years ago.

Including email and text messages from the campaigns this year, the Obama campaign has contacted 43 percent of all voters and the McCain campaign has been in touch with 33 percent. Both sides have been successful at reaching out to the party faithful, but Obama has done somewhat better in targeting independents.

I find it incredible that only nine percent of voters rank terrorism and the war in Iraq as their top issues. That's so dramatic a change from 2004 that it's difficult to believe, and it's a testament to the dramatic impact the steady drumbeat of bad news about the economy has had on the race.