Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Obama has bigger lead over McCain, but Hillary will do in a pinch

According to this ABC News/Washington Post poll, we see that Obama posts a 12 point lead over McCain if the election were held today, whereas Hillary only leads with 6 points. I've got no time to analyze, hopefully one of us will get around to adding onto this.

The results of this poll overall offer a roadmap to likely themes in the general election. Foremost are competing desires for the future: Americans divide evenly on "new ideas and new direction" vs. "strength and experience" in a candidate. Against McCain, Obama wins 80 percent of new direction voters; Clinton, 65 percent. Voters more focused on experience instead go to McCain, by 2-1 over Clinton and by 3-1 over Obama.

One more reason to back Obama: experience loses vs. McCain.

1 comment:

Xanthippas said...

Apt conclusion. Those touting Hillary's experience seem to do so as a justification for why Hillary deserves to win the nomination. But as Will Munny says in the movie 'Unforgiven', "deserves got nothing to do with it." The reason Obama has excelled is because his message resonates. An argument about experience fails against McCain. We knew that already, and this poll only supports that.