Union Members for Obama

Those white working-class voters that McCain is counting on to stage a coup in Pennsylvania? If the AFL-CIO's itnernal polls are to be believed, they're going to have to be something other than union members:

Among veterans, retirees and gun owners -- the three groups we microtargeted communication to in the final weeks of persuasion -- we've seen the numbers improve dramatically.

Among union gun owners, it's now 58-30 Obama, up from 48-41 in early September, a 21 point jump.

Among veterans we're at 58-32, up from 49-41 in early September. (+18)

And among retirees, we're now at 59-31, up from 52-37, a 14 point improvement, nearly double the margin