Saturday, July 31, 2004
Exposing CNN's and Newsweek's Bias
UPDATE: Paul Krugman takes on CNN's bias too in his latest Op/Ed.
The Kerry Landslide
"Mr. Kerry is showing a 2-to-1 lead (50% to 25%) amongst voters who didn’t vote in 2000, while winning three-quarters (75%) of Ralph Nader’s voters and stealing twice as many (8% to 4%) of Mr. Bush voters in 2000 than Bush is stealing of Gore voters in 2000."
Now here inlies the problem with the current polling. Most polls take into account what they refer to as "likely voters." Though any thinking person might assume "likely voters" means they asked who they were polling if they were likely to vote. Not so. "Likely voters" means those who voted in the last election. We all know many thought the 2000 election was a farce and stayed home. We all also know that's not gonna be the case this time. 9/11 happened since then. Bush happened! Turnout is gonna be high, and it will favor us. I will grant you the electorate is polarized, I see that everyday, but Kerry could be very possibly win over 50% of votes (which someone hasn't done in awhile). So let's start repeating our own meme (the right and the media do it all the time, so it's only fair): Kerry, in a landslide.
UPDATE: William Saletan analyzes the polls.
Friday, July 30, 2004
Is It November Yet?
I have collected some highlights from the speech below:
"I'm John Kerry, and I'm reporting for duty!"
"There is nothing more pessimistic than saying America can't do better."
"Now I know there are those who criticize me for seeing complexities and I do because some issues just aren't all that simple. Saying there are weapons of mass destruction in Iraq doesn't make it so. Saying we can fight a war on the cheap doesn't make it so. And proclaiming mission accomplished certainly doesn't make it so."
"As President, I will bring back this nation's time-honored tradition: the United States of America never goes to war because we want to, we only go to war because we have to. "
"We are here to affirm that when Americans stand up and speak their minds and say America can do better, that is not a challenge to patriotism; it is the heart and soul of patriotism."
"That flag doesn't belong to any president. It doesn't belong to any ideology and it doesn't belong to any political party. It belongs to all the American people."
"I want an America that relies on its own ingenuity and innovation, not the Saudi royal family. "
"Let's honor this nation's diversity; let's respect one another; and let's never misuse for political purposes the most precious document in American history, the Constitution of the United States."
"Maybe some just see us divided into red states and blue states, but I see us as one America red, white, and blue."
"I don't want to claim that God is on our side. As Abraham Lincoln told us, I want to pray humbly that we are on God's side. "
"July Surprise"
"P.P.S.: Three weeks ago, The New Republic reported that the Bush administration was pressuring Pakistan to announce a major terrorist capture during the Democratic convention. Hours before Mr. Kerry's acceptance speech, Pakistan announced, several days after the fact, that it had apprehended an important Al Qaeda operative. "
The Al Qaeda operative they're referring to is Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani, who has been wanted in connection with the embassy bombings in Tanzania and Kenya. He was captured last Sunday, but the Pakistani goverment waited until yesterday to publicly announce his capture.
I didn't see this article in The New Republic when it came out, so I read it for myself. In it the authors discuss the pressure being put on Pakistan to produce "HVTs" in time for the November elections. I've quoted the passage Krugman is referring to specifically below:
"A third source, an official who works under ISI's director, Lieutenant General Ehsan ul-Haq, informed tnr that the Pakistanis "have been told at every level that apprehension or killing of HVTs before [the] election is [an] absolute must." What's more, this source claims that Bush administration officials have told their Pakistani counterparts they have a date in mind for announcing this achievement: "The last ten days of July deadline has been given repeatedly by visitors to Islamabad and during [ul-Haq's] meetings in Washington." Says McCormack: "I'm aware of no such comment." But according to this ISI official, a White House aide told ul-Haq last spring that "it would be best if the arrest or killing of [any] HVT were announced on twenty-six, twenty-seven, or twenty-eight July"--the first three days of the Democratic National Convention in Boston. "
Of course the Bush administration denies putting any such pressure to produce high-ranking members of Al Queda with the elections in mind, but the timing of Pakistan's latest announcement seems a little fishy to me too. The point of delaying the announcement of his capture until yesterday would be to draw some attention away from Kerry, and help to focus some the attention on the Bush administration and their success in the war on terror. However, given the fact that Ghailani seemed to be mostly unknown by the American public before his capture, the advantage in announcing his capture to coincide with the DNC convention is slight at best. But it does give credence to the belief that there is no issue, not even ones of national security, that the Bush administration won't play politics with.
Thursday, July 29, 2004
Help Texas Democrats Raise "15K in 14 Days"
http://www.txdemocrats.org/contribute/15k14days/index.php
"Iran Invasion Watch" pt. 1
Today we have this, from American Daily. There's no specific recommendation for invasion, but rather an effort to set the mood by focusing on the threat of Iranian-sponsored terrorism.
PS. Occasionally I'll post the left's response to Iran invasion talk. Today we have this, from Znet.
Iraq War Hurt War on Terrorism
The US-led coalition's failure to restore security has turned Iraq into a battleground for the likes of Osama bin Laden's Al-Qaeda network, a parliamentary committee said. In a major report on the war on terrorism released Thursday, the House of Commons foreign affairs committee said the lack of law and order had created a "vacuum" for criminals and militias, with "appalling consequences" for the Iraqi people. It added that Iraq's own police and armed forces are still "a long way from being able to maintain security," and warned that ongoing violence could mar elections planned for early next year.
Well, this report agrees with what we already know - not only did the Iraq war take the focus off Al Qaeda and the war on terrorism, it probably made it worse! Now we are fighting an unwinnable war with dire consequences.
Thankfully, America has the option of correcting this course. Tonight, John Kerry will accept the Democratic Party's nomination for president. The choice is simple, and the action easy. All you have to do is cast your vote this November.
Wednesday, July 28, 2004
Why not North Korea?
"The parallel between then and now is not precise. North Korea does not have the resources that the Soviet Union had at the height of the Cold War. But with the deployment of the new missile-defense system, the United States has entered into an arms race with the North Koreans—an arms race we are likely to lose—and nobody in the White House or the Congress seems even to be aware of it."
For nearly two years now critics of the Bush administration's policy towards North Korea have tried in vain to point out that of the three members of the "Axis of Evil", Iraq, Iran and North Korea, North Korea by far presents the most immediate threat to the United States in the form of a revamped nuclear weapons program. It's no secret that North Korea would like the ability to gain some leverage over it's Asian neighbors with it's nuclear weapons(and perhaps eventually the ability to threaten the United States.) It's also speculated that North Korea may seek to sell some of it's nuclear weapons technology to other nations that we might not like to see armed with these weapons. Unfortunately our administration seems to think that installing an ABM system in Alaska while avoiding direct negotiations with N. Korea is the best policy for dealing with this threat.
The hawks of course are silent on the issue of nuclear weapons in North Korea. For one it doesn't fit into their grand schemes of remaking the Middle East, and second North Korea already has nuclear weapons, and any military effort to remove them would not nearly be as easy as the invasion of Iraq.
I for one believe only a stiff combination of diplomacy and the threat of action can push North Korea away from the further development of a nuclear weapons program. Our only choice is to make it worth more to them(in food and technical aid)to go without nuclear weapons.
So it begins...
Until now that is.
It seems that I've overestimated the hawks and their commitment to Iraq. I'd always assumed that despite their incredible naivete in how to go about it, they were actually serious about turning Iraq into a shining example of democracy in the Middle East. Articles like Krauthammer's make it clear that, at least for some of the hawks, that's not the case. Krauthammer sincerely believes that the threat of nuclear weapons on Iraq is great enough such that we should currently take all of our soldiers battling to secure Iraq and send them flying across the border and into Tehran, to replace the Islamic regime currently in power. Who exactly will be left behind to guard Iraq is not addressed in his column. But it didn't take me long to realize that's not the point. What's left out is that the the reason Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons so feverishly is because of the failure of this administration to deal with the threat sooner, and the lesson they've learned from North Korea that nuclear weapons will actually deter attack from us, not invite it. What we have here is another cynical attempt to distract the American people from a real problem, Iraq, to focus on another problem of seemingly greater urgency, Iran and nuclear weapons. It's an awful lot like what they did the first time around; distracting us from the real threat of Al Queda by pushing the case for war in Iraq. Some hawks seem to think you can play this prank on the American people twice. I for one don't agree, but be on the lookout for more articles like this to appear, as the hawks try desperately to divert the attention from Iraq as they make their case for war in Iran.
As for me, I'll talk more later about what we actually should be doing about Iran.
UPDATE: Krauthammer may be on the earliest advocates of war with Iran, but he's not alone. The first step in making this US policy is for the pundits and commentators to throw the idea out there on their blogs, op-eds and websites. Some examples:
New York Daily News(via FrontpageMagazine.com)
The Washington Times(predictably trumpeting the threat of Iran)
News Round-Up
Tuesday, July 27, 2004
Republicans Have Zell Miller, We Have Steve Brozak
Though he is still a fiscal conservative and social moderate, I am glad to have this guy on our side. Being a military man himself, his split with the Republican Party over that issue is certainly understandable. It is great that he was invited to speak at the convention, and even better that he will speak so strongly about Kerry's ability to protect America in the face of more of the Republicans' lies and distortions. Republicans might have that loon Zell Miller on their side this year, but I'm much more pleased to have Steve Brozak.
The Elusive Saudi Connection
Monday, July 26, 2004
Economic Realities (or, Why Republicans Should Be Voting For Kerry Too)
Big companies have too much damn power in America and it is time we did something about it.
Republicans surely won't, but Democrats, with progressives at the grass-roots level like us edging them on, will. So I again think of what I said earlier, we should support the Texas Democratic Party's and Glenn Smith's DriveDemocracy Organization, and get pro-worker Democrats in and pro-corporate Republicans out. It will hard to turn back the tide after a decade of Republican control in Texas and on the national level, but we have to start somewhere. And we will start with guys like the one I met today.
Sunday, July 25, 2004
Republicans Up To More Dirty Tricks in Florida
Is there nowhere too low for these GOP scumbags to sink to? Wait, don't answer that.
Alas, this is really no surprise. It's not like they won it last time.
Saturday, July 24, 2004
Ashcroft (surprise) mislead the 9/11 commission on Gorelick memo
In their final report, the bi-partisan 9/11 commission concluded that Ashcroft's public testimony was false and misleading. The commission bluntly stated that Ashcroft's public testimony did not "fairly or accurately reflect the significance of the 1995 documents and their relevance to the 2001 discussions." Specifically, "The Gorelick memorandum applied to two particular criminal cases, neither of which was involved in the summer 2001 information-sharing discussions." Any barriers between the law enforcement and intelligence communities were not created from written guidelines by internal Justice Department conflicts which "neither Attorney General acted to resolve" prior to 9/11. Even Ashcroft himself has recently backed away from his April testimony before the commission. In a recent document released by the Justice Department, Ashcroft conceded that Gorelick's memo permitted "interaction and information sharing between prosecutors and intelligence officers" and allowed the FBI to use the fruits of an intelligence investigation "in a criminal prosecution." Ashcroft, however, failed to mention that guidelines issued by his own deputy Attorney General, Larry Thompson, were more restrictive because they affirmed the Gorelick memo and added additional requirements.
Friday, July 23, 2004
The Plot Thickens...
Fundamentalists abroad and at home
Texas Politics
This is the kind of thing that would make even the most cynical political observers, including us, cringe.
More disheartening is that this is happening in our home state, illustrating how much our system is hobbled by ineffective campaign-finance and ethics laws and the amount of influence corporate powers have, even moreso than at the national level. But until we stop electing corporate-backed Republicans and Democrats-in-name-only and change the laws, there's never going to be a difference. We must help the Texas Democratic Party and groups like DriveDemocracy to elect better people, from the grassroots to the national level. Let's start by showing Mr. Tom 'Teaching evolution caused the Columbine shootings" Delay that even redistricting won't stop us from keeping a Democratic majority in our congressional delegation and winning as many state races as possible. From U.S. Senator to your local school board, every vote makes a difference.
Air Marshals say Passenger Overreacted
Thursday, July 22, 2004
Where have all the conservatives gone?
Music in the Skies
9/11 Commission
Wednesday, July 21, 2004
Afghan vigilante working for U.S.?
An American arrested in Afghanistan with two countrymen for illegally detaining people he suspected of being Islamic militants said Wednesday he was working for the U.S. government, and he had evidence to prove it.
"We were in contact directly by fax and email and phone with Donald Rumsfeld's office," he said, referring to the Secretary of Defense.
Rumsfel's office is denying a link, but columnist Ted Rall says he met Idema and has a different story to tell.
Hmm...
Republicans sure do love the military
Oops.
Do the terrorists want Bush to win in November?
Seymour Hersh Details Horrific Abu Ghraib Prison Torture
Seymour Hersh told the conference the US government has videotapes of boys being sodomized at Abu Ghraib prison. "The worst is the soundtrack of the boys shrieking," the reporter told an ACLU convention last week. Hersh says there was "a massive amount of criminal wrongdoing that was covered up at the highest command out there, and higher."
You can see the video of the speech or read a transcript here.
Did the new prime minister of Iraq execute six suspects in cold blood?
The Arabian Candidate
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/07/20/opinion/20krug.html
Terror in the skies...
Incest, schmincest!
It is the National Review, so how can I NOT trust it?